Friday Forecasts: 13/02/26
February 13, 2026
Your weekly pulse on markets, narratives, protocols, and policy.
Market Pulse
Bitcoin futures data shows bears gearing up for an assault on $60K
Bitcoin’s rejection at $70,000 and the large liquidity void below leave $60,000 vulnerable, a move analysts see as likely in the coming days.
Bitcoin price fell to $65,800 on Wednesday, slipping back below key intraday trend lines and raising concerns that last week’s drop to $60,000 may not have been the final bottom. Now, analysts say the possibility of another drop to the yearly low ($59,800) is increasing due to a growing liquidity gap between $66,000 and $60,000.
Ethereum holders in ‘full-scale’ accumulation as ETH price drops below $2K
Ether inflows into accumulation addresses spike despite ETH price falling below $2,000, signalling strong investor confidence in the long term.
Ethereum accumulation addresses have witnessed a surge in daily inflows since Friday, suggesting growing confidence in Ether’s long-term price trajectory despite its latest drop below $2,000.
Narratives to Watch
Visa Goes On-Chain With Ethereum Stablecoin Settlements
Visa, one of the world’s biggest payment networks, has started settling stablecoin transactions on Ethereum. The integration, quietly launched in December 2025, uses USDC. This move marks a big step in bringing traditional finance onto blockchain networks.
By moving payments on-chain, Visa allows 24/7 transactions for institutional clients. This bypasses the delays that often happen with banks.
Israel crypto industry pushes regulatory changes amid strong public support
Reform of Israel’s digital asset regulations may add 70,000 jobs and $38 billion to the country’s GDP, according to KPMG. The Israeli Crypto Blockchain & Web 3.0 Companies Forum last week launched a lobbying effort to push regulatory reforms that research from KPMG says may add 120 billion shekels ($38.36 billion) to the country’s economy by 2035 and create 70,000 new jobs.
Protocol Watch
TON Pay aims to turn Telegram into a crypto checkout layer for TON
TON Pay’s new SDK lets Telegram Mini Apps accept Toncoin and stablecoins in a single, low-fee checkout flow, seeking to make TON a payments rail for its 1.1 billion monthly active users. The Open Network Foundation has launched TON Pay, a new payments software development kit (SDK) designed to make cryptocurrencies usable for everyday consumer transactions within the Telegram ecosystem.
Ethereum Foundation teams up with SEAL to combat wallet drainers
SEAL and the Ethereum Foundation created a Trillion Dollar Security dashboard to track Ethereum security as part of efforts to fight wallet drainers.
The Ethereum Foundation is sponsoring crypto security nonprofit Security Alliance (SEAL) to “track and neutralize” crypto drainers and other social engineering attackers targeting Ethereum users.
Regulatory Radar
UK regulator takes High Court action against HTX over crypto promotions
The UK’s financial watchdog sued Panama-based HTX exchange and unidentified persons, alleging illegal crypto promotions on social media despite warnings.
The United Kingdom’s financial watchdog has launched court action against cryptocurrency exchange HTX, alleging it illegally promoted crypto asset services to British consumers in breach of financial advertising rules.
Polymarket sues Massachusetts, claims states can’t regulate prediction markets
Polymarket is challenging Massachusetts in federal court, arguing that states lack the authority to regulate CFTC-approved prediction markets.
Polymarket filed a federal lawsuit against the state of Massachusetts, arguing that Congress granted the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) exclusive authority over event contracts, preventing states from independently shutting down federally regulated prediction markets.
Moonrig Perspective
Markets are maturing — and so are narratives.
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