Friday Forecasts: 16/01/2026
January 16, 2026
Your weekly pulse on markets, narratives, protocols, and policy.
Market Pulse
XRP reclaims $2 as fund inflows diverge from broader crypto outflows
XRP trades above $2 as inflows into XRP-linked investment products and neutral volume metrics point to stabilization rather than a confirmed breakout.
XRP is holding above $2, but the move has yet to confirm a decisive bullish shift, with analysts saying stronger technical validation would be needed at higher levels.
Former NYC mayor backed token tumbles on Solana amid liquidity fears
Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams has launched a Solana-based meme coin that he said is aimed at fighting antisemitism and supporting the next phase of innovation in the city.
The token, called the New York City token (NYC), was announced in a Jan. 13 post on X and quickly went live for trading on the Solana decentralised exchange Jupiter.
Narratives to Watch
Cardano’s Path Forward: Technical Upgrades and Ecosystem Expansion Fuel Recovery
After a challenging 2025, Cardano (ADA) is showing signs of renewed momentum. While the broader cryptocurrency market recovery provides a tailwind, the project’s focus is on substantive advancements in its technical roadmap and governance. The critical question for investors is whether these foundational developments can transform a short-term price rebound into a sustained upward trend.
Stablecoin rewards provisions face industry test in Senate crypto bill
With the CLARITY Act scheduled for a markup on Thursday, some lawmakers may still be at odds over decentralized finance, stablecoins and ethical concerns.
Protocol Watch
Ethereum staking hits all-time high with almost 30% of ETH supply locked
The amount of ether locked into proof-of-stake system has climbed to a fresh all-time high amid growing institutional participation, even as broader crypto market liquidity remains selective. More than 36 million ETH is now staked on Ethereum’s Beacon Chain, accounting for nearly 30% of the network’s circulating supply and a staked market cap of over $118 billion, per The Block’s data dashboard.
GeeFi (GEE) Phase 3 Hits 90% After Privacy Upgrade as Investors React to Reports of $182M Frozen by Tron (TRX)
Recent events, such as Tether freezing over $182 million in assets on the Tron blockchain, have underscored the importance of security and decentralization in the crypto space. Against this backdrop, GeeFi is capturing investor attention by focusing on building a comprehensive, user-centric ecosystem designed to offer practical utility and robust security.
Regulatory Radar
Zcash Foundation says SEC closed 2023 probe into privacy coin
The investigation into Zcash, launched with an SEC subpoena over a “matter of certain crypto asset offerings,” ended this week, according to the foundation.
US Senate Republicans say market structure bill doesn‘t ‘serve industry interests‘
Republicans called a digital asset market structure bill a bipartisan effort despite pushback from some Democrats on certain provisions.
Cryptocurrency industry leaders, US lawmakers and experts are weighing in on a digital asset market structure bill set for a markup in the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday, and each group has voiced different views about whether to support or oppose certain aspects of the legislation.
Moonrig Perspective
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